Saturday, January 19, 2008

Analyzing the Dam Standings

The 2007 Dam Standings were released this week. A thorough study of the Top-20 reveals few surprising results, but reaffirms factors that most breeders feel contribute to an outstanding brood prospect: bloodlines, track performance, and the performance of her littermates. Another aspect often overlooked is the age of the dam, and the current standings have something to say about that as well.

Track performance: Two of the 21 dams* on the list were major stake winners—Touche Baby won the 1999 St. Pete Derby and Fuzzys Mohican won the 2001 Tri-State Holiday Distance Classic. Ten ran in top grade at a major track and nine of those ten were top grade winners. A further three were grade A winners at Intermediate tracks. Four show no lines and one was hurt early in her career. One was a top-grade winner at a low-end track while the remaining two were graders.

Bloodlines: Five of the Top-20 were Molotov daughters. Two were by P's Raising Cain and another by his virtual brother P's Skidway. Two more were by EJ's Douglas. Overall, 28 of the 192 dams in the Dam Standings were Molotov daughters. Others represented in numbers were P's Raising Cain (11, and a further 4 from P's Skidway), Greys Statesman (10), Oswald Cobblepot (9), Fortress (8), and EJ's Douglas (7). In the other direction were Gable Dodge (4) and Oshkosh Slammer (1). The Top-20 dams descended from several classic damlines led by Maythorn Pride (4) and Lear Jet (3). No other damline had more than one.

Age: The Top-20 dams averaged 5 years, 7 months of age with the youngest being Fuzzys Blueangel at 3 years, 2 months, and the oldest is Tillie O'Darlin at 8 years, 4 months. Three were 3 years of age, six were 4, three were 5, six were 6, two were 7, and one was 8. The drop-off after age 7 was significant. The dams' ages were calculated from the date her last litter was whelped that contributed to the Dam Standings, even if only one pup won a top grade race.

The results aren't earth-shattering, but they confirm common-sense breeding practices top breeders have known for generations—well-bred females who performed well on the track, or were from good litters, and are in the prime of their lives, produce the best offspring. In the current racing environment with shrinking purses and fewer tracks, the best opportunity to produce competitive pups is to play the percentages.

* There are 21 dams on the list due to a tie for 20th place.

Saturday, January 05, 2008

Why imports? Why now?

The last time a foreign stud was at the top of the Sire Standings was four decades ago when the great Tell You Why* topped the charts in 1967 and 1968. Since then, the number of truly influential imports has been small. Yellow Printer* (but mostly through his son Sandy Printer), Top Speed*, Share Profit*, and Fortress* come to mind, but the list is shockingly small. The list of failures is far longer, mostly strewn with lesser dogs who would not have attracted any attention in their own countries.

In the past few years, however, there has been renewed interest in foreign sires. Thanks to frozen semen, we’re finally getting access to top studs. One problem with frozen semen, however, is that it has invariably been available in limited quantities. If a stud produces there is often no opportunity for repeat breedings. Many top studs are so busy at home that their owners don’t export semen, and the present currency exchange rates have priced many foreign studs out of the market.

Recently, however, we’ve begun to see top-class foreign race dogs actually imported for stud duty. The advantages are obvious—if the dog is producing, breeders can go back to him again and again and they are being offered at prices that are in line with U.S. studs.

Breeding to an import stud is not necessarily about the outcross as some believe—American bloodlines are not so inbred that we require an outcross, and it’s not about "hybrid vigor"—it’s about using well-bred dogs whose pedigrees are loaded with productive bloodlines. It’s also about breeding to the top dogs available, stakes-class dogs with track record speed.

With the early success of Maryville Rumble*, several dogs have been brought here simply to fill the perceived demand for imports, not necessarily because they are the right type of dog for our conditions. We are already in danger of breeding too much early foot in our Greyhounds; the influx of even more studs whose offspring struggle to make 550 yards will make it worse.

When looking for a foreign stud ask yourself, what was his best distance? If he was an early-pace 525 yard dog, there is every chance his progeny will be short here. In Ireland, the boxes are much closer to the turn and even 550 yards is biased to early speed dogs. The 550 boxes at a track like Derby Lane are farther from the turn than the 575 boxes at Shelbourne Park and almost as far away as their 600 boxes.

In Ireland, the pickup is usually all the way around to the top of the backstretch, rather than at the apex of the first turn as in America. Greyhounds don’t know where the finish line is—they chase the lure until it stops. Watch as Irish dogs you’re interested in come down the stretch and round the first turn in 525 or 550 races. Is he extending his lead or are others closing? If it’s the latter chances are he would struggle to run out a strong 550 here in the ‘States.

The ideal foreign stud is one who ran out 550 or 575 yards, or longer very strongly, has a fair amount of staying blood in his pedigree, and is out of lines proven to be compatible with U.S. blood. If you are unfamiliar with import pedigrees, your studmaster should be able to describe the history of the dog, his race record, and the influential names in his pedigree.

There will always be room for American-bred stud dogs, but the advent of frozen semen has concentrated the vast majority of breedings over the past decade into a very narrow range of domestic bloodlines. Top-quality foreign dogs are here now and it’s time to take a close look at them.